Wednesday, December 14, 2005

observation affects results?

as you've probably gathered by now, I dont blog on all my stockmarket trades...i just like to show different types of trades, from range trades to breakouts...from day trades to long term ones...and all of them posted more or less as they happen...in real-time.

this introduces a little extra risk.
when i post my stop loss, someone could read my post and manipulate the market so my stop loss is reached.
this is unlikely and i dont belive it has ever happened to me.
but its a possibility...at least in my mind ;-)

the reason i mention this is that today i remembered reading somewhere that in science the mere fact that you are observing something may be influencing the results of that observation.

for example, if you are investigating how often ducks "quack" by standing in front of them, you may get a totally different result than if you use a microphone instead, and both results could be different than if you didnt observe at all. (eg even a hidden mike could be interfering with the sound waves and make the ducks "quack" more or less than without observation)

There's no way to know If observation affects results,
because There's no way to evaluate results without observation.

just my thought for today :-)

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